QFT Put simply, it’s a popularity contest, and scientists aren't winning it right now.
These wealthy communities in California seem very susceptible to miracle based thinking. Anti-vax has a strong foothold as well. Risk assessment and critical thinking need to be taught from kindergarten on.
https://www.wired.com/story/lessons-from-montecito/amp
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Magical thinking is the American way.
ReplyDeleteThe Japanese actually have a phrase for this craziness, 浮世 , ukiyo, the floating-world of fleeting pleasure and urban sophistication. It's sort of a pun, because 憂き世, which sounds exactly the same, means Grieving World, the world of suffering from which Buddhists wish to escape.
ReplyDeleteI know two geologists in California. Almost married one, the other was her best friend. He was a consulting geologist who lived in a gorgeous house along one of the dizzying switchback roads in the hills of Laguna Beach, just south of Los Angeles. He made a great deal of money doing construction site analysis.
Told a joke in front of both of them: "Q: How can you tell which season it is in California? A: You look at your neighbour's house: if it's toppling into the canyon in a mudslide, it's Spring. And if it's on fire, it's autumn." ... whereupon I sang a few bars of Steely Dan's Babylon Sisters "Here come those Santa Ana winds again..."
They thought I had a dark sense of humour.
The citizens of California are terrifyingly stupid. They have built two of the world's largest metro areas along one of the world's most dangerous fault lines, actually several fault lines. It is pointless to ask Why.
Furthermore, this has nothing to do with a popularity content which scientists are losing. The scientists themselves are idiots and metro LA and the Bay Area, UCLA, Stanford, CalTech, are chock full of people who understand exactly what the next large earthquake will do to them. California State University is built right on the goddamn fault line in Hayward.
That is kinda dark Dan Weese
ReplyDeleteI don't get how any adult with brain cells to rub together could think that the impact of a sequence of drought, fire and torrential rainfall on a mountainous catchment would produce anything different. This is exactly what scientific models have forecast for years...decades, really.
ReplyDeleteIt's like the difference between predicting tomorrow's weather and next month's. Yes, anyone with common sense knew that place was in a stupendous amount of danger. Why even bother putting a fine point on it? Pack your bug-out bag and be ready to flee, folks. Turning it into a rationale for doubting experts is so far beyond stupid I don't know how that needle got moved.